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Challenges in Intelligence Analysis: Lessons from 1300 BCE to the Present, by Timothy Walton
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In Challenges in Intelligence Analysis, Timothy Walton offers concrete, reality-based ways to improve intelligence analysis. After a brief introduction to the main concepts of analysis, he provides more than forty historical and contemporary examples that demonstrate what has, and what has not, been effective when grappling with difficult problems. The examples cover a wide span of time, going back 3,000 years. They are also global in scope and deal with a variety of political, military, economic, and social issues. Walton emphasizes the importance of critical and creative thinking and how such thinking can be enhanced. His book provides a detailed and balanced idea of intelligence work and will be of particular interest to students who are contemplating a career in intelligence analysis. *Offers a brief introduction to the concepts, vocabulary, and tools of intelligence analysis. *Features more than forty examples, each with questions for further discussion and recommended reading. *Includes an instructor's guide with model answers to the questions for further discussion, as well as suggested exercises and additional background information.
- Sales Rank: #175176 in Books
- Published on: 2010-08-30
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.21" h x .63" w x 6.14" l, .95 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 310 pages
Review
"Serious students of intelligence learn far more from examining the successes and failures of actual cases than they do from abstract theorizing. They want to hear it from someone who has been there and who can speak from firsthand experience. In my opinion, it would be hard to find anyone with better credentials to write a book on intelligence analysis from a practitioner's standpoint than Tim Walton."
- James M. Olson, The Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University, and former Chief of CIA Counterintelligence
"Timothy Walton has written the best beginner's guide to the complex world of intelligence analysis with a historical perspective that also deserves to be pondered by experienced analysts."
- Christopher Andrew, Corpus Christi College, University of Cambridge, author of The Defence of the Realm: The Authorized History of MI5 and The Mitrokhin Archive: The KGB in Europe and the West
"Timothy Walton offers in these pages a readable and reliable survey of secret intelligence operations, from Biblical times through the contemporary efforts of the Western nations to thwart global terrorist activities perpetrated by Al Qaeda and its allies. The work is a rich mosaic of espionage down through the years, filled with images of shadowy figures and dazzling spy machines."
- Loch K. Johnson, University of Georgia
About the Author
Timothy Walton is an adjunct professor of intelligence studies at Mercyhurst College and on the roster of subject matter experts at Omnis Inc., an intelligence training consulting firm. The author of The Spanish Treasure Fleets, he served in the U.S. Navy and spent twenty-four years as an analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency.
Most helpful customer reviews
11 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
valuable introduction to the work of intel analysts
By Nicholas Dujmovic
Useful books about the oft-misunderstood world of intelligence analysis are few and far between. Descriptions of the analytic profession are often out of print (Jack Smith's The Unknown CIA or Ray Cline's Secrets, Spies, and Scholars) or are buried in bigger tomes (Robert Gates, From the Shadows). Others, dealing with the analytic process in clinical detail, are frankly boring.
Walton's unique approach is historical--he tells succinct, readable stories about analytic challenges, thereby showing that the bases for today's intelligence analysis can be found thousands of years ago--Caesar's contemplation of Gaul, for example. He prefaces his historical case studies with two chapters--the best short treatment I've seen--on what makes intelligence analysis difficult, how analysts get things wrong, and specific techniques that can help lead to analytic success. Marching straight up to present times, subsequent chapters describe not only challenges, but successes and failures as well. Walton's chapters on the analytic failures surrounding the Korean War,the Cuban Missile Crisis, 9/11, and Iraqi WMD are excellent and objective synopses of complex issues.
This would be an ideal textbook for any undergraduate introductory course on intelligence dealing with analysis and estimates. Highly recommended.
5 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent overview of issues
By E. M. Van Court
"Challenges" is a collection of case studies of intelligence analysis. It was recommended to me as a potential text book for undergraduate classes. This book, with a book like Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis could be the basis of an excellent course in the theory and practice of intelligence analysis.
"Challenges: present almost forty different cases from antiquity to first decade of the twenty first century, and military to business. Each study includes questions suitable for classroom discussion and recommendations for further study. Each chapter is well researched and presents a brief sketch of the issue. The follow on questions tie the issue to the theoretical challenges discussed in first two chapters.
What it lacks is robust discussion of methods and the processes for intelligence analysis, and the practical aspects of developing assessments and forecasts based on information available. This is why I recommend Heuer's book as a companion.
I teach history at the undergraduate level and lead discussions and grade papers for graduate level classes. While it would take two full semester of undergraduate class to get full use of this book, there is a lot of excellent material that I'm incorporating into my classes.
"Challenges" is an academic survey of the subject, but a broad and superior survey with an excellent collection of case studies. While I can't really make it work as a text book, I will certainly put it to work and recommend it to my students.
E.M. Van Court
4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Nice overview, but nothing useful.
By BSXX
The author says in the Introduction that he did no "archival research" and included no "footnotes", meaning this was intended to be a general discussion of the events, and nothing more. That is an honest description, but the book is so general there is very little useful information or "lessons". It is informative as to the events, but of no value beyond it. The "lessons" that are mentioned are the usual analytical flaws outlined in most intelligence literature.
For this price, I would liked to have seen more information on the actual collection, how it was analyzed and what the specific errors were. The examples and scenarios were interesting, but the lessons were ordinary and hardly worth the current $24 price tag.
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